China

Nuclear Is Back

18 October 2004 Nuclear Is Back (A Bit) By Gwynne Dyer “The worst possible nuclear disasters are not as bad as the worst possible climate change disasters,” declared the Centre for Alternative Technology in Britain recently, urging “a modest revival of nuclear energy…to sell the idea to the sceptics.” And while Europeans and North Americans …

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Cold Shower in Taiwan

14 October 2004 Cold Shower in Taiwan By Gwynne Dyer The rhetoric had been getting harsher for months, as Taiwan’s leaders stoked popular fears of Communist China’s intentions in an attempt to push through a controversial $18 billion arms purchase from the United States. It reached a peak on 30 September, when President Chen Sui-bian …

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Taiwan Outcome

21 March 2004 Taiwan: The Best Possible Outcome By Gwynne Dyer “If Chen loses, the chances of war are about 20 percent,”said Arthur Ting of Cheng Kung University in Taiwan, only days before the vote on 20 March in which President Chen Shui-bian was seeking re-election. “If he wins, the risk rises to 40 percent.” …

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Year of Decision

31 December 2003 Year of Decision By Gwynne Dyer History normally runs on rails, with one development following another in fairly obvious succession. Colourful personalities and dramatic events abound, and it may seem like a roller-coaster ride at times, but twenty years later the outcome is just about what you would have expected at the …

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Taiwan

10 December 2003 Triple Bluff over Taiwan By Gwynne Dyer Taiwan’s President Chen Shui-bian is bluffing when he hints at holding a referendum on independence from China. US President George W. Bush was bluffing three years ago when he promised to do “whatever it takes” to defend Taiwan, though he was serious last Tuesday when …

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Global Economy

  THIS ARTICLE MAY BE USED ALONE, BUT IS THE FIRST OF A TWO-PART SERIES ON THE GLOBAL ECONOMY. THE SECOND PART FOLLOWS WITHIN A DAY. 28 November 2003 The Global Economy Part I: An Enormous Sucking Sound By Gwynne Dyer “That enormous sucking sound you hear,” third-party candidate Ross Perot told American voters during …

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