China

Derzhavnost and ‘Respect’

The Russian word ‘derzhavnost’ is usually translated as ‘great power status’, but the real meaning is closer to the gangland concept of ‘respect’. The word was beyond the reach of my feeble Russian vocabulary until I heard it about twenty times in twenty minutes while interviewing an ultranationalist ideologue called Aleksandr Dugin about twenty years […]

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The Coming Crash

“The thing that comforts me,” said Jeff Boudier at Hugging Face, the leading open platform for AI builders, “is that the internet was built on the ashes of the over-investment into the telecom infrastructure of yesterday” during the dot.com boom of the late 1990s. The coming AI crash “is going to enable lots of great

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Ukraine: Deadlines

Ukraine: Deadlines By Gwynne Dyer “I love deadlines,” said Douglas Adams, author of ‘The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy’. “I like the whooshing sound they make as they fly by.” Donald Trump sets deadlines for more complicated reasons that purport to be tactical, but he too is addicted to the whooshing sound they make when

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Taiwan: No Panic

Taiwan: No Panic By Gwynne Dyer . “I hope I am wrong. My gut tells me we [the US and China] will fight in 2025,” wrote General Mike Minihan, head of US Air Mobility Command, in a private memo two years ago. There’s still five months to go, but I’m going to go out on

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Ukraine: Buying Time

Ukraine: Buying Time By Gwynne Dyer There was rejoicing when US President Donald Trump announced that he was going to let Ukraine have weapons after all, but it was conspicuously contained joy. Half-smiles and sighs of relief were plentiful; cheers were absent or faked. The Ukrainians were relieved because this is the first time they

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Musk, Trump and Mao

Musk, Trump and Mao By Gwynne Dyer The only place where some people still see Elon Musk as a political genius is China. “Brother Musk, you’ve got over a billion people on our side backing you,” wrote a fan on Weibo, China’s biggest social media site. “If Elon Musk were to found a political party,”

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