NATO

Ukraine: What Next?

23 March 2022 Ukraine: What Next? By Gwynne Dyer Russian troops are stalled for the third week outside most of the major cities of eastern and central Ukraine, but they have failed to surround and cut off any of them except Mariupol, the big port on the Black Sea that has become the Ukrainian ‘Stalingrad’. …

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Ukraine: After the Pause

9 March 2022 Ukraine: After the Pause By Gwynne Dyer Two weeks since Russia invaded Ukraine, and still no ‘decapitation’ of the Ukrainian government, no city captured except Kherson (which no non-Ukrainian had ever heard of before the war), and maybe 2,000 military dead on each side. It’s not exactly a stalemate, since the Russians …

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Ukraine: Ten New Realities

24 February 2022 Ukraine: Ten New Realities By Gwynne Dyer Now that Russian President Vladimir Putin has invaded Ukraine and foreclosed his and everybody else’s other options, certain aspects of the near future have become clear. So have some aspects of the longer run. Here are ten predictions, made with varying degrees of confidence. 1. …

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Humouring Putin

19 December 2021 Humouring Putin By Gwynne Dyer The geopolitical question of the moment is: how important is it to humour Russian leader Vladimir Putin? The answer is: not very. Throw him a fish or two, because he’s running a bluff and you don’t want to humiliate him, but there’s no need to placate him …

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