Russia

New Revolutions

9 December 2004 The New Revolutions By Gwynne Dyer The Ukrainian revolution has won. There still has to be a re-run of the second-round presidential election on 26 December, but there is no doubt that it will be pretty clean this time, and that opposition candidate Viktor Yushchenko will win handily. So the heavy-industrial, Orthodox, …

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Ukraine’s Election

18 November 2004 Ukraine’s Election By Gwynne Dyer It’s not just Ukraine’s fate that is at stake in Sunday’s election; it is probably Russia’s as well. If the Kremlin’s favoured candidate, Viktor Yanukovych, wins, then Ukraine will end up inside a Russian-dominated common market that also includes the authoritarian regimes of Belarus and Kazakhstan and …

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Kyoto Is Back

3 October 2004 Kyoto Is Back By Gwynne Dyer Why did Russian President Vladimir Putin decide to ratify the Kyoto protocol on climate change last week, only six months after his top adviser, Andrei Illarionov, called it a “death treaty”? One reason is that the European Union offered Russians visa-free travel within the 25-country bloc …

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Sauce for the Gander

8 September 2004 Sauce for the Gander By Gwynne Dyer It didn’t get much media play, but did you notice what the Russian Chief of Staff, General Yuri Baluyevsky, said after the horrors at Middle School Number One in Beslan? He said that in future, Russia will be prepared to carry out preemptive strikes against …

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Russian ‘Election’

4 March 2004 The Russian ‘Election’ By Gwynne Dyer “The mentality of power in Russia today is absolutely similar to that of the Soviet Union,” said Irina Khakamada, candidate in the Russian presidential election. But why is she surprised? President Vladimir Putin, who is expected to get at least three-quarters of the votes cast on …

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Russian Democracy

4 December 2003 Russian Democracy By Gwynne Dyer First, the results of the Russian parliamentary elections on 7 December: United Russia, the ‘party of power’ that supports President Vladimir Putin, wins a large majority. Second, the results of the Russian presidential election next March: Putin wins by a landslide. Third, a question: can Russia be …

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Brics

15 October 2003 The ‘Brics’: Back To The Future By Gwynne Dyer Thirty-three years after China launched its first satellite, a high-tech boom-box called Mao 1 that broadcast a tinny version of ‘The East Is Red’ to an underwhelmed world, it has finally put a man into space. But the pace is picking up: Beijing …

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