29 January 2023 A Bad Case of Cultural Lag By Gwynne Dyer “I wish you a world without Babiš. Forget about Babiš. Try to live without Babiš,” said former Czech prime minister Andrej Babiš on Saturday after his campaign for the presidency failed to convince the voters. “Stop waking up in the morning with hatred …
25 January 2023 Ukraine: Will Western Tanks Bring Victory? By Gwynne Dyer On Tuesday they reset the Doomsday Clock to 90 seconds before midnight. How did they know that Germany would agree to give Leopard 2 tanks to Ukraine on Wednesday? Now we’re all doomed! No time to run! Ninety seconds is barely time to …
1 January 2023 The Next Ukrainian Offensive By Gwynne Dyer It’s still unseasonably warm in Ukraine, but there’s a chance of a hard freeze next weekend. By mid-month it should be reliably below zero almost all the time: the ground will be hard and the smaller streams will have frozen over. Expect the next Ukrainian …
13 November 2022 Ukraine: Where Next? By Gwynne Dyer The recovery of the city of Kherson is the third big victory for the Ukrainian armed forces in three months: first, the reconquest of all of Kharkiv Oblast (province) in September, then the partial destruction of the Kerch Strait bridge linking Crimea with Russia in October, …
9 October 2022 Ukraine: The Focus Shifts By Gwynne Dyer Moscow is not blaming the latest Ukrainian attack on careless Russian smokers, as it previously tried to do with suspicious explosions on airbases in Russian-occupied Crimea and on a Russian warship in the Black Sea. The blast that brought down sections of the Kerch Bridge …
26 September 2022 Is Putin Bluffing About Nukes? By Gwynne Dyer Vladimir Putin’s desperation was plain in the emergency measures he declared last week: immediate mobilisation of at least 300,000 more troops, the sudden decision to use fake referendums to turn all the occupied parts of Ukraine into Russian territory, and more explicit threats than …
11 September 2022 Ukraine: The Risk of a Ceasefire Dwindles By Gwynne Dyer Two months ago John Bolton wrote an article in ‘The Hill’, the leading politics website in Washington, warning against a Russian ‘October Surprise’. He suggested that Russian President Vladimir Putin might suddenly stop military operations and declare a ceasefire – which would …
30 August 2022 The United Kingdom: The Once and Future King By Gwynne Dyer As a child, outgoing British Prime Minister Boris Johnson reportedly said he wanted to be ‘King of the World’. He ended up in a somewhat humbler role, was rejected by his own party’s members of parliament for his mendacity, corruption and …
24 August 2022 Might Russia Use Its ‘Tactical’ Nuclear Weapons? By Gwynne Dyer On 25 August the president of Belarus, Alexander Lukashenko, announced that the country’s combat aircraft have been ‘upgraded’ by the Russians to carry nuclear weapons, and Belarusian pilots are being trained to deliver them. It got a single paragraph, or no notice …
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21 August 22 Killing Darya Dugina: Own Goal for Ukraine? By Gwynne Dyer “I am a political observer of the International Eurasianist Movement and an expert in international relations…. In this capacity, I appear on Russian, Pakistani, Turkish, Chinese and Indian television channels….The situation in Ukraine is really an example of a clash of civilisations; …